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Trading The Euro WIth The Commitment Of Traders Report
By Kevin Barry
Money in wind-ups.
By Susan Marmor
January Newsletter
By Kevin Barry
Two Classic Charting Techniques Warn Of A Stock Market Top
By Kevin Barry
An Imminent Multi-Year High In The Stock Market?
By Kevin Barry
How Banking Really Works - Part III
By Kevin Barry
How Banking Really Works - Part II
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Do You Know How Banking Really Works?
By Kevin Barry
Is It Really Possible To Outperform The Stock Market?
By Kevin Barry
CMC Interview WIth Kevin Barry
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Is It Really Possible To Outperform The Stock Market?

Event: 
World Money Show
Warren Buffet has said that a rising tide lifts all boats. This apparently innocent remark provides us with a clue to one of the most successful yet most underutilised trading strategies of all time, namely Sector Rotation using External Relative Strength Analysis.

 

This presentation was originally delivered by Kevin Barry of the Traders & Investors Club at the World Money Show in London in November 2012.

 <

File Attachments: 
application/pdf iconmoney_show_nov_2012_pdf.pdf
Tags: 
stock trading
sector rotation
external relative strength
stock market
sector trading
Markets: 
Indicies
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Market Roundup - 17th July 2012

Event: 
Traders & Investors Club Meeting - 17th July 2012
WIth the BofE base rate at its lowest for 300 years and the printing presses already having created the equivalent of £12,000 in new money for every UK household, it is clear that we are still mired in a Keynesian liquidity trap. Kevin Barry of the Traders & Investors Club will be explaining why he is becoming ever more heavily invested in bonds...............on the short side.

 As Market Roundup fans will know, we have repeatedly referred to bond yields to illustrate that the scare-mongering around impending hyper-inflation was always something of a crock. 

The fact is that deleveraging continues apace and deflation is the beast in

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Market Roundup - 22nd May 2012

Event: 
Traders & Investors Club Meeting - 22nd May 2012
We can see divergences everywhere at the moment. The S&P500 index has been pushing higher without the participation of the European indices nor the trading volume necessary to sustain a genuine bull run. Kevin Barry of the Traders & Investors Club explains why he thinks that we will be seeing neither hyperinflation nor a booming gold price anytime soon

When establishing a vineyard, the grower will plant a rose bush at the end of every row of vines.

File Attachments: 
application/pdf icon120522_market_roundup.pdf
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Market Roundup - 20th March 2011

Event: 
Traders & Investors Club Meeting - 20th March 2012
2012 has not been a good year for stock market bears. Our short positions have been stopped in their tracks and we are currently standing aside dusting ourselves off. Of course, it would be easy to blame our miscalculations on the fact that successive rounds of Quantitative Easing on both sides of the Atlantic have resulted in a very large increase in liquidity with nowhere for the mountains of cash to go except the stock market. But, that would just be sour grapes, wouldn't it?

However, we are not hanging up our bear suits just yet. A significant technical warning sign is currently flashing in the shape of divergence between the Dow Jones Industrial and Transport indices.

File Attachments: 
application/pdf iconmarket_roundup.pdf
Tags: 
Gold
Fibs
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Market Roundup - 17th January 2012

Event: 
Traders & Investors Club Meeting - 17th January 2012
It looks as though China may well be THE story for 2012. And not necessarily in a good way.

Inevitably, the Chinese construction and real estate boom may well be over. The knock-on effect will have global implications, for example, a falling demand for iron ore, copper, lumber and manpower. Losses on real estate-related investment will damage consumer confidence and undermine the domestic demand for Western imports.

File Attachments: 
application/pdf icon120117_market_roundup.pdf
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Market Roundup - 22nd November 2011

Event: 
Traders & Investors Club Meeting - 22nd November 2011
October, which is traditionally the most bullish month of the year, especially if we ignore the rather unfortunate statistical aberrations of 1929, 1987 and 2008, has not disappointed those of us who have kept faith in the market recovery. The current consensus amongst Fund Managers is that the market is primed to rally until year-end. So, the worst is over. Or is it?

 

From a technical perspective, all will be revealed very soon. There is a significant triangle formation in progress, the breakout of which will determine the direction of the market until Santa appears in the fireplace.

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Market Roundup - September 2011

Event: 
Traders & Investors Club Meeting - 27th September 2011
Kevin Barry of the Traders & Investors Club discusses his market positions for the month ahead as well as presenting our regular summary of the recent global market action. Kevin also reveals his outlook for the FTSE over the next several years. Unfortunately, it is not a pretty picture.

Since last we met, the US Dollar has broken out to the upside of the trading range within which it had been languishing for the past six months. Of course, the Eurozone crisis is positive for the Dollar and Kevin does not discount the possibility that we could see Euro/Dollar parity over the long term.

But surely the Dollar is a basket case? Everybody knows that.

File Attachments: 
application/pdf iconMarket Roundup SLides
Tags: 
Market Roundup
AUD/USD
Gold
copper
FTSE
S&P500
$VIX
crude
Silver
EUR
GBP
Markets: 
Indicies
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Market Roundup - August 2011

Kevin Barry of the Traders & Investors Club updates us on the progress of his longer-term positions since last month. He expects the economy to deflate over the years ahead and explains his strategy for dealing with it.

Kevin remains firmly bearish on both the stock market and the commodities sector.

File Attachments: 
application/pdf iconmarket_roundup_110820.pdf
Markets: 
Indicies
Currency
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Bonds
Equities
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Kevin Barry - Market Roundup July 2011

Event: 
Traders & Investors Club Meeting - 19th July 2011
Kevin remains bearish on both the stocks and commodities sectors. He is also unfashionably bullish on the US Dollar. This evening, Kevin discussed his market positions for the month ahead as well as presenting our regular summary of the recent global market action.

We began the month with the stock market putting in a sterling run up on the news that an insolvent country with debts that can never be repaid, whose Government gives a nod and a wink to widespread tax-avoidance and endemic corruption is going to be lent more money. Fakelaki all round.

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Market Roundup - 21st June 2011

Event: 
Traders & Investors Club Meeting - 21st June 2011
Kevin Barry of the Traders & Investors Club explains why he remains bearish on both the stock market and the commodities sector. He is holding his copper and gold short positions and reveals why he is unfashionably long the US Dollar. Kevin also discusses how to hedge US Dollar denominated assets and illustrates how live cattle prices are poised for a significant advance in tandem with increasing sunspot activity.

The gold rally in early June failed to make a new high and silver and copper are also displaying signs of technical weakness along with most of the commodity sectors.

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Market Roundup - 17th May 2011

Event: 
Traders & Investors Club Meeting - 17th May 2011
Kevin is short the commodities sector across the board and expects the Yen to weaken against the US Dollar. He is also looking for one last gasp from the stock market before the long-awaited correction. Unless QE3 rears its ugly head that is..........

It looks as though a lot of market participants have been taking note of the old adage - Sell In May And Go Away.

The silver bubble has well and truly popped for the time being at least and, although gold is not quite as bubblicious, the shine of 'the only real currency' has also been dulled somewhat by the recent market action.

Our old friend the US Dollar is still in the doldrum

File Attachments: 
application/pdf iconMarket Roundup charts
Tags: 
Silver
Gold
copper
commodities
Market Roundup
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Indicies
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Market Roundup - 19th April 2011

Event: 
Traders & Investors Club Meeting - 19th April 2011
The US Dollar has broken the critical support line, which means that the Federal Reserve may be well be on its way to succeeding in its ultimate objective to grind the Greenback into the ground. What ramifications does this have for global commodity prices and the outlook for inflation?

This evening, we examine these questions and look at ways that we as traders and investors can protect and grow our portfolios in these 'exciting' times. We are now in uncharted territory; could this actually be a once-in-a-lifetime trading opportunity?

File Attachments: 
application/pdf iconPresentation Slide Set
Tags: 
Market Roundup
USD Index
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Indicies
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Market Roundup - 15th March 2011

Event: 
Traders & Investors Club Meeting - 15th March 2011
Kevin Barry of the Traders & Investors Club presents our regular summary of the recent global market actions.
File Attachments: 
application/pdf icon110315_market_roundup.pdf
Tags: 
Market Roundup
Markets: 
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Market Roundup - 15th February 2011

Event: 
Traders & Investors Club Meeting - 15th February 2011
Kevin Barry presents our regular summary of the recent global market action.

We take a look at possible reasons for the dollar languishing in the doldrums and why the stock market still appears to be defying gravity. 

What are the catalysts that could reverse these trends and how we can we trade them?

 

 

File Attachments: 
application/pdf iconMarket Roundup Slide Set
Tags: 
Market Roundup
Markets: 
Indicies
Currency
Futures
Bonds
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Market Roundup Redux - 25th January 2011

Event: 
Traders & Investors Club Meeting - 25th January 2011
Apologies to everybody who attended the meeting for the rushed delivery of the Market Roundup. As promised, I have redone it as a presentation at a far more leisurely pace.

The fortune of the US Dollar will largely determine the direction of global asset prices during the year ahead. Recently, the Dollar has been weakening against the basket of global currencies. Is this a trend reversal or merely a pullback in a long-term bullish Dollar story?

File Attachments: 
application/pdf icon110125_market_roundup.pdf
Tags: 
Market Roundup
Markets: 
Indicies
Currency
Futures
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